Negative Progression Systems

When it comes to blackjack, most gamblers opt for using either positive or negative progressions systems. While positive progressions systems are easy to understand and require you to raise your bets after winning, negative systems require the opposite – raising your bets when you lose.

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Negative progression systems are far more dangerous to play with, but they can bring a nice profit in case you win several times in a row.

How Do They Work?

We already mentioned how these systems work – negative progression requires raising your bets after losing hands and raising bets after winning. The theory behind these systems is that the player should eventually win after a losing streak and get most of the money back or at least break even. However, a bad string of losses can eventually bankrupt the player, which is why these systems are considered risky and dangerous.

Negative Progression Systems
Playing blackjack
Negative progression systems are a perfect example of gambler’s fallacy, a dangerous concept which relies on the myth that a win always follows after a series of losses. Relying on this myth is dangerous as there’s no sure way to predict what comes next in a casino game, be it blackjack, craps, baccarat or roulette. If there was a way to predict the next spin of the wheel or which card will show up in blackjack, we’d all be millionaires.

If you’re really lucky, however, negative progression systems can bring a profit, at least in the short run. All betting systems are not at all effective in the long run and anyone who says differently is lying. Another misconception about negative progression is that it’s not as lucrative as other betting systems. This is just another myth – negative progression systems can cover up your losses and bring you massive profits, but as you’re relying on luck, no one can be sure what happens next.

Types of Negative Progression Systems

There are 4 major types of negative progression systems that are very popular in casinos – Martingale, Fibonacci, d’Alembert, and Labouchere. If you’re a casino enthusiast, you have most likely heard (or even used) the Martingale and Fibonacci systems. If you haven’t, chances are you’re going to use them in the future.

Both are highly popular among gamblers for all the right and good reasons. While some praise them as the reason behind their casino success, others scald them for decimating their bankroll. Instead of following the advice of seasoned gamblers, you should keep in mind that no betting system is effective in the long run – it will only help you learn more about the game and types of bets, and may also help you turn a bit of profit if you know when to quit.

Have a look at his thought[/caption]The Martingale betting system is probably the most widely used system in casinos. It is especially popular among roulette players, but it can also be used on blackjack. The Martingale system works best on even money odds, and as a negative progression system, it requires players to increase their bets when losing a hand and reducing them when winning.

The theory behind the Martingale system relies on the fact that no losing streak goes on forever. By increasing the bets (usually doubling the stake) after every loss and eventually winning after a long streak of losses, players will eventually get their money back or at least break even.

However, the system’s nature means that it’s aimed at players with a seriously large bankroll. The Martingale system is not suitable for beginners as it’s far too risky and can make you lose a lot of money. This is why experts recommend keeping your bets small when using this system in order to control your losses.

In the short run, however, the Martingale system can be quite profitable.

Read more about the Martingale Betting System

The d’Alembert betting system is probably the second most widespread system used on casino games. As a negative progression system, it’s fairly similar to the Martingale system, except for the fact that the progression is not that steep. With this system, players are required to increase their bets for one unit after losses and decrease them for one unit when they win.

It’s easy to understand, not so risky as the Martingale system, and allows you to control your losses. Additionally, if you’re so lucky to enter a winning streak, the d’Alembert system can cover all your losses in the short run, although it won’t bring substantial profits due to the smaller stake. It’s still a fun system that may even be great for beginners who aren’t comfortable of splashing a lot of money on the blackjack table.

Read more about the d’Alembert Betting System

The Fibonacci system is another popular negative progression system that uses the Fibonacci sequence as its base. Unlike the Martingale and d’Alembert systems, the Fibonacci betting system starts with a set of pre-determined bets. The sequence starts with 0 and 1, with each next bet amount equaling the sum of the previous 2 bets. Of course, the bets are increased by that sum after losing and reduced by much when winning.

Fibonacci betting system
The Fibonacci sequence

This system allows players to just go back to the beginning of the sequence (0) in case they are satisfied with their winnings at any point. The Fibonacci system is fun to use and not as aggressive as the Martingale system, but, just like any negative progression system, players are likely to get stuck in a losing streak while the bets are high, meaning they may lose a substantial amount of money.

Read more about the Fibonacci Betting System

The idea behind the Labouchere betting system is allowing the player to recuperate their losses with a string of wins instead of one win only. It’s a bit more complicated than other negative progression systems as it requires writing down a set of pre-determined numbers (bets).

After writing down a sequence of numbers (usually 1-2-3), the player should bet the first and last number in the sequence in case of a loss. Whenever they win, the numbers used are crossed off the list, while the losing bets are added to the end of the sequence. It’s a bit more complicated than the other systems, but once understood, the Labouchere betting system is quite fun and can help players recuperate their losses with a string of wins.

Read more about the Labouchere Betting System

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The Risk

Increasing your bets after losing means you’re essentially chasing your losses. This is much riskier than using positive progression systems and can lead to losing potentially huge sums of money, which is why negative progression is not recommended for beginners. With that being said, it’s pretty easy to understand and can be used in numerous casino games.

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